The Russian politician Dmitry Rogozin has been included in the administration in order to make speeches and utter things which nobody else wants to utter. Everyone understands that he will not be allowed to do a serious job, only shocking behavior. There are always fools in Moscow. The Russian political scientist Alexander Doogin once referred to him as “a badly disguised scoundrel”.
Dima Rogozin has left for Baku, perhaps in order to agree on arms supply. In fact, this agreement is the business of other people, and Rogozin has been sent to Baku for the final prospect. This statesman suits best for the solution of this issue because he can afford (or he has been allowed) to say everything.
By the way, this is not the first time Rogozin went to Baku. He was there before for similar goals. However, Moscow hardly hopes for other perspectives relating to Azerbaijan. The utmost Moscow can expect is Azerbaijan’s “word” not to participate in political and defense initiatives.
Even though the Russian statesmen announce about strategic relations with Azerbaijan, the Azerbaijani intelligence (as well as Turkey’s and Georgia’s) work against the interests of Russia and not only in terms of collection of information but also actions.
One way or another, independent from goals, Moscow wants to warn Armenia about arming Azerbaijan. The Eurasian project which is not in place yet presupposes certain devices to include countries in a union which will deprive them of sovereignty or external threat or a lost war or a political disaster.
Moscow thinks that if Armenia defeats Azerbaijan and occupies other territories it will appear in such a difficult situation that it will be have to sacrifice its sovereignty.
Russian companies and political managers intend to boost Russian supply of arms to Azerbaijan from 57% to 90% for which the Kremlin thinks there are other industrial resources. In any case, they will need to make money on their “ally’s” blood.
Serzh Sargsyan and Seiran Ohanyan are obviously pursuing integration with NATO avoiding causes to end relations with Russia. More exactly, it is possible to convey to Russia the understanding that after years of searching for ways of establishment of strategic relations with Russia the Armenian military and political leadership has drawn a conclusion that the technology of escaping the Russian orbit is tougher than the technology of accession to NATO.
Apparently, one should know and understand some things not to doubt that NATO and some of its member states have worked out certain intentions regarding Armenia. In this situation even Robert Kocharyan, the actor of old impressions, would play the same game.
Unfortunately, even such informed political leadership as Russia’s does not have an adequate understanding of the Armenian issue of NATO policy. Some military officials of Armenia were allowed to work with both Russia and NATO to get rid of apolitical illusions. Now the team has no doubts. The doubts are about the time of starting war. This problem exists but it can be resolved.