The deputy representative of the ARF Supreme Body Arsen Hambardzumyan made an interesting statement. “This is not a matter of nomination of candidates of the Armenian National Congress, Prosperous Armenia, or other political forces. It is possible that this candidate will not be a party member. At least, I do not believe that the political field will unite around one candidate representing one opposition force or another,” the Armenian World reports.
In fact, the ARF is not ready to support Vartan Oskanian who finally joined the Prosperous Armenia Party before the parliamentary elections. This changes a lot because the most non-partisan politician in Armenia who is not a member of any party is Robert Kocharyan.
Does the ARF have another non-partisan candidate? And if he means Robert Kocharyan, will the Armenian National Congress support him? On the other hand, does Robert Kocharyan need the support of the Congress if he is backed by the PAP and the ARF, as well as the Republican oligarchs who will be sacrificed by the time of the presidential elections?
With only a few months to go before before the presidential campaign there is not even a hint on the possible opponent of Serzh Sargsyan. The impression is that everyone is waiting till autumn. In September Vladimir Putin will visit Yerevan and announce to support one candidate or another. Maybe indirectly, hinting at who asked him not to raise the price on gas for Armenia or to lend 1 billion.
Russia may not need Kocharyan if Serzh Sargsyan rejects the European track and agrees to join the Eurasian Union. Apparently, this is the condition for the loan. But in that case Serzh Sargsyan’s election will not be legitimized, and he will face a civil uprising.
If this is the state of affairs, Serzh Sargsyan’s only ally will be the Armenian public. However, in order for this alliance to succeed, Serzh Sargsyan must rid of the neo-Soviet trends and the oligarchic system, as well as part of his team which has methodically pushed Armenia into this debtor’s prison.
Serzh Sargsyan had better not run in the elections and conduct fair elections to open up the way for forces that are able to resist neo-Sovietism and aggressive Western globalization.