Ilham Aliyev’s scandalous statement at the congress of New Azerbaijan Party was like an explosion. The backlash was expected and the analysts need to find out why Aliyev decided to do this.
The reaction is such that yesterday the representative of the Azerbaijani foreign ministry had to announce that Aliyev spoke about “the return of Azerbaijanis to their historical lands”, not “return of Yerevan and Zangezur”.
What has changed in the region over the past few days and why has Aliyev decided to “explain” his statement on Azerbaijan’s historical “lands”, Yerevan and Zangezur? Is Aliyev’s statement related to the intensification of the U.S. policy in the region and Turkey’s retreat?
Earlier the United States hit Russia in Syria and Moscow cannot recover. After this Putin disappeared from screens and cancelled all public events. It turned out that Russian mercenaries were trying to seize oil wells from Kurds. They also write that Russia has signed an agreement with Bashar Assad on getting 25% of income from the occupied oil wells. In other words, this is looting.
Are the United States and Europe crushing the pattern built in the region 100 years ago? What will happen to Azerbaijan if the Russian-Turkish pattern disappears?
Azerbaijan is desperately trying to float. Aliyev knows that his country was established on a Russian-Turkish agreement. Last year the international community demonstrated that it does not recognize Azerbaijan’s territorial integrity. Aliyev understands that if Turkey and Russia lose, the legal grounds and territorial integrity of Azerbaijan will disappear, and his government will disappear too. This is the reason why Aliyev moved.
The “blossom” of Aliyev’s new policy was the aggressive statement on Yerevan and Zangezur. Afterwards member of parliament Rasim Musabekov published Azerbaijan’s proposal on Karabakh settlement which spoke about the agreement on “discussing separation of Karabakh”. Afterwards the Azerbaijani foreign ministry explained that Aliyev’s speech about Yerevan and Zangezur was only about the return of Azerbaijanis.
Official Yerevan does not answer these signals and this method could be the right one.