What's Happening with Putin? Armenia Should Be Prepared

    • Comments - 17 February 2018, 22:44
The spokesperson for Kremlin Dmitry Peskov told reporters that Putin has a cold but goes to work. Recently Putin has cancelled several events though the Kremlin’s website informed about some events held with his participation. Apparently, the Russian president holds some events which do not require a big number of participants outside the Kremlin walls. The Russian media also reported that recently Putin indeed looked unhealthy, his voice was harsh, he was inattentive. For example, in one of his meetings he asked the same question several times even though his question was answered.

What is wrong with Putin? His health has recently been a popular topic in the Western press with hints that Putin has lost his ability to work.

Some experts say that the Kremlin would not disclose his health issue ahead of the election. Nonetheless, the Kremlin has confessed that he has a cold perhaps because it is no longer possible to silence Putin’s passiveness. Is it just a cold or does the Russian leader have more serious health issues? As is known, Putin is a sambo wrestler, and has a high risk of traumas. A few years ago Putin left for Turkey after such a trauma and he hardly could sit and stand.

Has sambo of youth left a trace on Putin who is approaching his 70s, his health and work. In this context, there are two important things: real politics and action movie production based on a real story.

Interestingly, Yeltsin also had health issues ahead of the election in 1996 and three years after the election he resigned and Putin took on the position of president. Yeltsin already had a heart attack and a brain clot in the electoral period, as some years later the head of his security service informed. However, in the electoral period it was kept strictly confidential for clear reasons.

The current election cannot be compared to Yeltsin’s election in 1996 wo had a serious rival, the communist Zyuganov. Russia was more open and democratic at that time, at the same time with a public extremely dissatisfied with liberalism and democracy. Putin’s current election is different. He did not dare to accept the nomination of the blogger Navalni and give him access to the federal TV channels. His most serious rival is Sobchak but the situation is more serious due to international sanctions and isolation against Russia. Putin is currently in a more serious situation than Yeltsin was in 1996. In 1996 the Russian muzhik and baba were dissatisfied with Putin whereas now several hundred Russian billionaires have questions to Putin.

In addition, the White House has come to his rescue, publishing the Kremlin list and forcing the billionaires to “cherish” Putin. This list has caused a controversial situation. On the one hand, Putin’s policy puts them under the risk of sanctions. On the other hand, it is hard to imagine how they hurry to the West to “repent” and at least their short-term reaction will be mobilization around Putin. This is what the West needs in the pre-election period to prevent unmanageable and uncontrollable situations in Russia. If Putin is not there, the question occurs who is there and what Russia becomes. And the West intends to weaken Russia and make it play by its rules, not to cause the collapse of Russia. In this sense, the health of Putin preceded by the Kremlin list was Washington’s emergency aid.

The other circumstance was the ban on the film The Death of Stalin in Russia. They explained that it insulted Russia’s dignity, especially that the cult of Stalin has been revived in the recent years.

However, the main goal is not to save Stalin’s or Russia’s reputation but the prevention of possible psychological and subconscious consequences. The problem is that almighty Stalin dies in a wink from reading a letter of hatred to him, and a few hours later the top officials of USSR who were licking his boots change their behavior in a few hours and they start fighting for power by way of correcting Stalin’s mistake. Perhaps this explains the sensitivity of Russian officials to this film because it is basically an x-ray of the possible situation in the current elite.

Putin’s re-election in March causes no doubts. The problem is the course of the future developments in the government, the frequency and magnitude of sensitivity of Putin’s old traumas. Will the developments take the turn of the politics of 1996 or the movie?

Armenia cannot influence this process but every course of action will leave its impact on issues relating to Armenia. So, Armenia should be ready for very different scenarios.