What Price Will Armenian Syrians Pay?

    • Comments - Thursday, 26 July 2012, 20:36

Kiro Manoyan, head of the political office of ARF Bureau, says the Armenian community should stay to live in Syria. He told this to Radio Liberty. He said the Armenian community must not be allowed to disappear. Several days earlier the representative of the ARF Bureau Hrant Margaryan spoke about the necessity to keep the Armenian community in Syria intact.

In fact, the presence of an Armenian community in any country is important. An influential Armenian community may help promote the foreign policy of Armenia, the interests of Armenia abroad.

At the same time, the problems must be viewed specifically, not only in terms of the situation but also the long-term interest.

From this point of view, what are the possible scenarios? What if a deep analysis of the situation makes think that the Armenians in Syria as an organized sheer community have nothing to do there and must leave before they are exposed?

Are there any studies underlying, for instance, the ARF statement about the need to preserve the Armenian community or the Ministry of Diaspora official’s statement that there is no need to send additional flights to Syria or the government campaign claiming that the Armenian community in Syria is not in danger? What period of time has been studied, what will be the status quo, what is the attitude to the Armenians, is the situation under control in Syria?

What if the situation in Syria follows the scenario of Iraq and the military actions are followed by terrorist attacks taking lives of people every day? What will the situation of the Armenian community be? What problems will the Armenian community in Syria attend to except for saving their property by risking their lives?

Are there any relevant studies and prognoses? What will be if Assad leaves? What if Assad does not leave? Who believes this? How can he stay if he decides to stay? What is the attitude of the Armenians to the armed opposition to Assad if the Armenian community has always been one of the social and even ethnic supports of the regime in Syria?

In fact, a policy of controllable chaos seems to be conducted in the Arab world. According to most analyses and assessments, the problem is Iran, and the West is coming to Iran step by step.

However, in this case the question occurs what Tunisia had to do with Iran. Of course, one can even find a connection between Barbados and Iran but perhaps it is more probable that the problem of Iran is moved into a wider process of the Arab world than the contrary.

Apparently, this process resolves an important issue of shrinking resources of the Arab world when not only their possible centralization and formation of a geopolitical pole and a serious challenge for the Western civilization is prevented but also the resources which generated the danger of centralization run out.

The processes underway in the Arab world can be viewed as a measure undertaken in the context of the systemic crisis in the Western civilization, a so-called crisis measure. It is not only trade in weapons and the subsequent occurrence of an economic incentive.

The West, having appeared in a systemic and civilization crisis, knowing that it will take long to overcome the crisis and ups and downs are expected, is trying to generate a controllable chaos in the Arab-Muslim world not to allow the existing resources use the Western crisis and set forth additional challenges to the west which is already facing a need for complex systemic reforms.

Do the Armenian communities have anything to do in this situation of controllable chaos and do they face any other prospect apart from being slaughtered? Do the forces upholding preservation of the Armenian community have more or less plausible scenarios which prove the necessity for preservation of the Armenian community?

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