Following the Prosperous Armenia campaign and Vartan Oskanian’s special role in it, many think what Oskanian will do when the PAP forms a coalition with the RPA after the elections.
In that case, Vartan Oskanian will either have to leave the party or form opposition inside it.
Yet in that case, the PAP will be the unique party in Armenia to have internal debates on its place and role in politics and in government, and where the minority will not leave the party due to internal disputes.
But the internal party debate in this case will hardly be the result of democratic mind. It can be a technical trick when the PAP will try to come to terms with the RPA and ensure minimum gain. On the other hand, it will also try to ensure minimum public support to have a firm foothold in dealing with the Republicans.
However, such a prospect is not likely.
First Vartan Oskanian is not so naïve to use a solid scheme of criticism of government without leaving room for retreat. And Vartan Oskanian is hardly the person who would use any option to retreat, unlike some other political figures.
Besides, in case of coalition with the RPA, the so-called internal democracy will hardly be helpful to the Prosperous Armenia, since the Armenian society lacks political taste and ideas to be committed to democratic mechanisms. In this case, the low level of the political development of the society will not be helpful in deceiving but will help avoid manipulations.
For this reason, it is more probable that the Republicans and PAP will have a post-election agreement which will not be the traditional coalition. It is more likely that the Prosperous Armenia will not enter the coalition this time and will assume the role of the parliamentary opposition promoting its own candidate for the presidential elections of 2013.
The point is that the coalition mechanism of keeping power has ceased being effective in Armenia. Along with the growth of civil consciousness and development of informational technologies the coalition partnership becomes ineffective. The division of the system into government and opposition becomes more effective and consistent with the public processes, since it is evident that the RPA and PAP with their quality are unable to meet the state and public requirements of Armenia.
The new government -opposition system may exhaust itself sooner than the coalition partnership if the issue of mutual change is not posed as a priority.
Certainly, the society has its own option – to rid of the RPA and PAP altogether. Hence, it is necessary that the society form a political system based on civil principles and priorities which will be different from the current party system. The point is that the current party systems, declaring the issue of getting rid of the acting system, cooperate with the same parts of the system promoting only their next replacement of each other.